FNUS72 KMFL 072226
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR PITCH...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
626 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1606 EDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR
MONDAY KEEPING A SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW OVER THE WILDFIRE AREA. THIS
WILL PUSH MOST OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE EAST
COAST METRO AREAS FOR MONDAY. HOWEVER...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WILDFIRE AREA ON MONDAY. THE
PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30
MPH...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
ALSO ONLY FALL INTO THE 50S MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE WILDFIRE
AREA...AS THE TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ONLY BE AROUND 10 MPH.

...MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........52     52     52     36     36     36
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............75     78     89     93     95     93
RH..............94     91     68     58     56     60
20 FT WIND......W 0    SW 0   SW 0   SW 3   W 7    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5      15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 0    SW 0   SW 0   SW 3   W 7    W 7
EYE LEVEL WIND..                     5      15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....300    2700   2700   5000   5000   5000
MIXNG WIND......SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   W 8    W 14   W 14
DISPERSION IDX..1      10     10     44     55     55
LVORI...........7      4      4      4      4      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      2      2      2      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 9 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 9 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 56.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BAXTER
REQUESTED BY...RHONDA HAGEDORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110807.PITCH.02/MFL