FNUS72 KMLB 080224
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 7 1A AND 7 1B...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1024 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2215 EDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MAINLY SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW OVERNIGHT WILL AVERAGE 5 TO 7
MPH...INCREASING 8 TO 12 MPH ON MONDAY. LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVERNIGHT SHOULD PREVENT SMOKE FROM SETTLING NEAR AND DOWNWIND
SIGNIFICANTLY...HENCE THE LVORI IS ABOUT 5.

AGAIN ON MONDAY A LATE DAY SEA BREEZE MAY OR MAY NOT DEVELOP AND IF IT
DOES WILL NOT PENETRATE INLAND VERY FAR DUE TO DOMINANT WESTERLY FLOW.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OR STORMS TO DEVELOP RIGHT
ALONG THE SEA BREEZE (IF IT FORMS) LATE IN THE MORNING. A MUCH BETTER
CHANCE FOR STORMS AGAIN WILL EXIST LATER IN THE AFTERNOON BEGINNING
BY MID AFTERNOON AS SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE WEST COAST
SEA BREEZE APPROACH THE BURN SITE FROM THE WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SOME OF
THE LATE DAY STORMS COULD CONTAIN STRONG GUSTY WINDS UP TO AROUND
40 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. YOU WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR
GUSTY AFTERNOON OUTFLOW FROM NEARBY STORMS AHEAD OF SURROUNDING CELLS.

SKY/WEATHER.........DECREASING CLOUDINESS BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............84  83  82  81  81  80  80  81  81  82  83  85
RH..............80  82  85  85  88  88  88  88  87  88  88  85
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   7   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.                                        10  10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS
                    LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110807.71AAN.01/MLB