FNUS72 KMLB 080225
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 7 3...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1025 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2215 EDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD EVENING. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT AROUND
ONE QUARTER INCH OF RAIN FELL AT THIS BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES APPEAR TO HAVE FALLEN JUST TO
THE NORTH...WEST AND SOUTH. A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND 6 MPH
SHOULD CONTINUE OVERNIGHT KEEPING THE LOW LEVELS MIXED AND PREVENT
FULL RECOVERY OF RH. AS A RESULT...THE RISK OF SMOKE SETTLING AND
DENSE FOG FORMING APPEARS LOW WITH AN LVORI OF 5.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONDAY WITH WEST WINDS LIKELY STRONG
ENOUGH TO HOLD OFF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND GOOD DISPERSION. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR
SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-900 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............82     81     81     80     80     83
RH..............80     82     85     88     85     88
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 7   SW 7   SW 7   SW 6   W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.                                   10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110807.73___.01/MLB