FNUS75 KMSO 071744
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR VAN CREEK FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1144 AM MDT SUN AUG 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1024 PDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UNSTABLE BUT DRIER AIRMASS IS OVER THE FIRE
TODAY. CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE BUT CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE FIRE. TONIGHT INTO MONDAY THE
UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWEST AND ALLOW MORE
MOISTURE TO MOVE OVER THE FIRE BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED LATE
DAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THIS ALONG WITH
SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS NEAR STORMS IN THE EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST 6-8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 6-8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...LINDSAY DURANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110807.VANCR.01/MSO