FNUS75 KBOI 090051
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR PASCUAL...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
651 PM MDT MON AUG 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1713 PDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
...THE RED FLAG WARNING COVERS THE ENTIRE ZONE BUT IT IS PRIMARILY
INTENDED FOR THE NORTHERN PART OF THE ZONE.  THE FIRE IS SOUTH OF
THAT AREA.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP WEST AND NORTH
OF THE FIRE THIS EVENING.  WE ESTIMATE A 10 PERCENT CHANCE THAT A
THUNDERSTORM WILL DEVELOP CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE FIRE FOR OUTFLOW
WINDS TO REACH THE FIRE.  IF A THUNDERSTORM DOES DEVELOP...OUTFLOW
WINDS WILL PROBABLY COME FROM THE WEST OR NORTHWEST.

THE WESTHER DISTURBANCE CAUSING THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OUT
TUESDAY MORNING AND NO NEW STORMS ARE FORESEEN FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON
OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........54 TO 59 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...80 POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84 TO 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 TO 17 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1150 EXCELLENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51 TO 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........51 TO 56 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...35 POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...COLIN
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110808.PASCU.01/BOI