FNUS75 KGJT 080326
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
926 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE BURN SITE
THROUGH MIDWEEK. DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT IN SOME AFTERNOON
GUSTINESS ESPECIALLY OVER RIDGES BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A
SLOPE-VALLEY CIRCULATION DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. EXPECT
STRONG SURFACE INVERSIONS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH THERMAL
BELTS ON MID-SLOPES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWVNALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH BETWEEN 1400 AND 1900.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 1000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 13600 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    (LESS THAN 2000 KNOT-FT) BY 2200.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AND INCREASING TO 6-12 MPH
                    BY 1300. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR 25 MPH
                    BETWEEN 1400 AND 1900.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 2000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12800 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110808.TAYLO.01/GJT