FNUS72 KJAX 081520
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HODGES ONE...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1120 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1103 EDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES UP TO 105 TO 110 DEGREES...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG WESTERLY FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA AND THIS WILL PREVENT THE ATLANTIC COAST SEA BREEZE
FRONT FROM PUSHING INLAND. HOT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WITH
HIGHS IN THE 90S AND THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND TO
KICK OFF SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10-15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 20 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATER IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 18 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........61     72     72     67
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............90     93     95     92
RH..............56     53     50     62
20 FT WIND......W 13   W 15   W 14   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     18     18     17
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   4500   5000   3000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17   W 20   W 20   W 18
DISPERSION INDX.47     55     58     48
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     60     60     60
LAL.............3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........67     71     71     49     39     39
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............90     86     84     82     81     80
RH..............62     69     75     78     81     84
20 FT WIND......W 13   SW 10  SW 8   SW 8   W 8    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   1800   1800   500    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18   W 16   W 16   SW 12  W 12   W 12
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     30     30     10     10     10
LAL.............4      3      3      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...WENDY RODGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110808.HODGE.01/JAX