FNUS75 KGJT 092351
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DISAPPOINTMENT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
551 PM MDT TUE AUG 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1712 MDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE DRY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST...WITH
LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES AND ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
HUMIDITY VALUES THROUGH MIDWEEK. ALSO A FEW MORE CLOUDS WILL
DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE SLOWLY
BEGINS TO CREEP UP FROM THE SOUTH. DEEP MIXING WILL ALLOW
GUSTINESS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING WITH A FEW GUSTS 20-25 MPH
POSSIBLE. ON WEDNESDAY THE FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED WEAKEN...SO
SURFACE WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHTER. LOOK FOR POOR RH RECOVER
OVERNIGHT...WITH A JUST TAD BETTER RECOVERY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........28-33%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH UNTIL
                    1930...THEN DECREASING. BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH BY SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1930...BECOMING POOR BY SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL EARLY THIS EVENING...DECREASING TO
                    1000 FT AGL AROUND SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    6 MPH AFTER SUNSET.

.WEDNESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%)...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY. AFTER 1300...
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS 15 TO
                    20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING EXCELLENT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    10400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110809.DISAP.01/GJT