FNUS72 KJAX 091049
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
649 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0640 EDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL COMBINE
WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
STORMS. THE STORMS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DRIER AIR MOVES
IN THURSDAY AS THE TROUGH MOVES SOUTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT
IN LESS COVERAGE OF STORMS AND HOTTER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES.
MARGINALLY LOW RH'S ARE FORECAST ALONG WITH HIGH DISPERSION
ESPECIALLY NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........56     62     62     60     61     69
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............75     82     91     95     97     95
RH..............100    96     71     58     51     56
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 9    W 10   W 10   W 9    W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10            15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1700   2800   2800   3800   3800
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 10   W 12   W 12   W 13   W 13
DISPERSION INDX.7      24     44     44     58     58
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      40     40     40     60     60
LAL.............1      3      3      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........69     80     80     81     60     60
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............91     85     81     79     77     76
RH..............60     74     84     89     94     98
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 8    W 7    W 6    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   1700   1700   1000   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12   SW 10  SW 10  W 8    W 6    W 6
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      8      8
DISPERSION INDX.49     13     8      6      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............4      2      2      2      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MOUSEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110809.HONEY.01/JAX