FNUS74 KLZK 092052 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPEL...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 348 PM CDT TUE AUG 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1537 CDT ON AUGUST 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... IN GENERAL...UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...WITH FLOW ALOFT BECOMING INCREASINGLY NORTHWEST. THIS WILL ALLOW SEVERAL DISTURBANCES TO MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...KEEPING RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST FOR A BETTER PART OF THE STATE. TOMORROW WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH RESPECT TO RAINFALL...WITH A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH EARLY IN THE DAY SPARKING OFF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR THE MOST PART...MAINLY OUT OF THE EAST OR SOUTHEAST. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL NOT BE TERRIBLY LOW...WITH READINGS IN THE 40 AND 50 PERCENT RANGE FOR MOST OF THE STATE...SAVE THE SOUTHWEST WHERE AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE UPPER 30S. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 74. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....6. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TEMP............91 90 87 84 82 81 80 79 79 78 77 77 RH..............49 51 56 62 66 69 72 75 77 79 81 84 20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N NE E SE SE SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW N N N NE E SE SE SE SE S S EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N NE NE E SE SE SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 94. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............76 76 79 82 86 88 90 92 93 93 93 92 RH..............87 88 79 70 63 57 53 49 48 47 47 48 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 3 EYE LVL WND GST.0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 MIX HGT (KFT)...6100 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...L PYLE REQUESTED BY...TONY COLLINS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110809.CHAPE.01/LZK