FNUS72 KMFL 091238 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR DUPUIS BU9E...SFWMD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 838 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON AUGUST 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A DEEP WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON COULD CONTAIN HEAVY DOWNPOURS, GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD THIS AFTERNOON AS TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE WEST SOUTHWESTERLY AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE DEVELOPED WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 7 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 7 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 51 EARLY IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............3. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM SKY (%).........80 80 80 80 65 65 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............88 92 90 87 85 81 RH..............66 58 62 68 70 82 20 FT WIND......SW 9 W 9 W 9 W 10 W 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 9 W 9 W 9 W 10 W 6 W 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..20 20 20 20 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....5000 4500 4500 4500 2400 2400 MIXNG WIND......W 14 W 14 W 14 W 15 W 8 W 8 DISPERSION IDX..53 51 51 51 12 12 LVORI...........3 3 3 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 30 30 LAL.............1 4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. DISPERSION INDEX....51 DECREASING TO 10 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............7. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 65 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 67 EARLY IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...CARACOZZA REQUESTED BY...JAMES SCHUETTE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110809.DUPUI.01/MFL