FNUS75 KBYZ 101630
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL FIRE...USFS - BZC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1030 AM MDT WED AUG 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1009 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BRIEF RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY BEFORE
ANOTHER WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
EXPECT TO SEE A FEW CLOUD BUILDUPS REPLACE SUNNY SKIES THIS AFTERNOON
WITH SOME WEAK SCATTERED THUNDERSHOWER ACTIVITY POSSIBLE BY 3 PM. THE
CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THURSDAY
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ROCKIES PRODUCING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FIRE SITE WITH SOMEWHAT COOLER
TEMPERATURES. PREVAILING WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE STRONGER THURSDAY THAN
TODAY AT RIDGE TOP LEVELS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...2 TO 7 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................23 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...CRISTI HEANEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110810.BULLF.01/BYZ