FNUS75 KGJT 102346
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DISAPPOINTMENT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
546 PM MDT WED AUG 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1719 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
***SPOT FORECAST PREPARED BY NWS SALT LAKE CITY...WHICH IS PERFORMING
BACKUP OPERATIONS FOR NWS GRAND JUNCTION TODAY. CONTACT THE SALT LAKE
CITY AT 801-524-5066 WITH ANY QUESTIONS.

A WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE FIRE SITE THROUGH
THURSDAY. MOISTURE THAT WORKED NORTH FROM ARIZONA HAS GENERATED EXTENSIVE
TERRAIN-BASED CUMULUS THIS AFTERNOON. VERY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
INTO EARLY EVENING...THOUGH NO REAL THREAT OF WETTING RAINS WILL EXIST
TONIGHT. AFTERNOON CUMULUS WILL RETURN THURSDAY WITH A RENEWED THREAT FOR
LIGHT SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WINDS
FOR THE MOST PART WILL REMAIN TERRAIN DRIVEN DURING THE EVENING THROUGH
EARLY MORNING HOURS. LIGHT WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON...
WITH ENOUGH MIXING TO GENERATE A GUSTY/ERRATIC CHARACTER TO THE WINDS
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
                    (10-20%). ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL 2000 MDT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-52%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6000-8000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1000 MDT...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (45-55%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH AFTER 1100. GUSTS TO 17 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000-11300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD (130600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
                    (10-20%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2100 MDT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-56 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6000-8000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH NORTHWEST 8 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...CONGER NWS SALT LAKE CITY
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110810.DISAP.01/GJT