FNUS75 KGJT 101338
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAYON FIRE...SOUTHERN UTE BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
738 AM MDT WED AUG 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0708 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED IN WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS
SOUTH OF THE BORDER WILL SPREAD HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE AREA AND
POSE A SLIGHT THREAT OF SENDING OUTFLOW WINDS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
FIRE SITE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE. CLEARING SKIES AT
NIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD COOLING THOUGH THE DRY AIRMASS WILL NOT
ALLOW MUCH FOR RH RECOVERY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83 F BY 3 PM MDT.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 10-15% BY 3 PM MDT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 8 MPH THROUGH MID
                    MORNING...BECOMING WEST BY NOON AND INCREASING
                    TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS NEAR 25
                    MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BY MID MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    IN AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 5500 FT AGL BY MID MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 12000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH INCREASING TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........37 TO 42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 8 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO AROUND 1000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BY MID MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 5500 FT AGL BY MID MORNING INCREASING TO
                    11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON  FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110810.PAYON.01/GJT