FNUS72 KILM 101730 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 130 PM EDT WED AUG 10 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1323 EDT ON AUGUST 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BEHIND THE FRONT...BRINGING LIGHT WINDS...BUT LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY ANDCONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REBOUND THIS WEEKEND...AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR MASS WILL FOLLOW FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............15. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............1 0 0 1 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................91 87 81 77 75 73 RH..................38 44 55 64 69 73 20 FT WIND..........W 2 SW 2 SW 2 W 3 W 4 W 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 4 5 5 ADI.................15 3 3 2 2 2 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............26. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............14 32 38 45 51 53 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................73 75 86 92 93 93 RH..................70 61 47 37 33 36 20 FT WIND..........NW 3 N 2 NE 3 N 2 NW 1 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 LVORI...............5 3 2 2 2 2 ADI.................1 4 0 0 26 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2. MAX LVORI...........10. MAX ADI.............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............55 57 56 55 54 59 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................90 84 78 75 73 72 RH..................48 72 84 91 99 100 20 FT WIND..........NW 2 NE 1 SE 1 S 1 S 1 SE 1 20 FT WIND GUST..... LVORI...............2 3 6 7 9 10 ADI.................0 3 0 0 3 0 LAL.................1 2 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3. MAX LVORI...........10. MAX ADI.............27. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............66 71 66 60 56 58 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................71 73 80 86 87 87 RH..................100 100 79 61 56 55 20 FT WIND..........SE 1 E 2 E 4 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 10 LVORI...............10 10 4 3 2 2 ADI.................0 2 0 0 27 0 LAL.................2 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110810.SIMMO.01/ILM