FNUS72 KILM 101747 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 147 PM EDT WED AUG 10 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1332 EDT ON AUGUST 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BEHIND THEFRONT...BRINGING LIGHT WINDS...BUT LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REBOUND THIS WEEKEND...AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR MASS WILL FOLLOW FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-6200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................1. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............39. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............1 0 0 3 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................94 89 82 77 75 72 RH..................32 37 48 58 64 69 20 FT WIND..........S 2 SW 3 SW 4 W 5 W 5 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 LVORI...............1 2 3 3 4 5 ADI.................39 3 3 3 2 2 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE. LAL.................1. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............19. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............17 40 44 49 52 54 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................71 75 85 92 93 93 RH..................68 59 40 32 31 38 20 FT WIND..........N 4 N 3 NE 5 N 4 NW 2 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 5 5 LVORI...............5 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................2 10 0 0 19 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............56 57 57 56 56 60 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................91 85 78 73 72 70 RH..................46 55 66 74 80 87 20 FT WIND..........N 5 N 2 N 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 4 4 5 6 ADI.................0 5 0 0 2 0 LAL.................1 2 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3. MAX LVORI...........10. MAX ADI.............10. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............64 68 64 58 54 56 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................70 72 79 86 88 88 RH..................95 100 82 64 55 56 20 FT WIND..........NE 2 NE 2 E 4 E 5 SE 5 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 5 LVORI...............9 8 6 3 3 3 ADI.................0 10 0 0 6 0 LAL.................2 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110810.SIMMO.01/ILM