FNUS72 KJAX 101040
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HODGES FIRE COMPLEX...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
640 AM EDT WED AUG 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0630 EDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE TROUGH WILL COMBINE WITH AN UNSTABLE
AIR MASS TO PRODUCE SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST
FLORIDA. DRIER AIR MOVES IN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ALL AREAS
BEHIND THE TROUGH. THIS WILL RESULT IN ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY HOT EACH
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW. DISPERSION
INDICES HIGH THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6300 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....79.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........67     70     70     45     47     47
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............77     84     92     96     97     95
RH..............94     90     66     54     47     51
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 10   W 10   NW 10  NW 9   NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   1900   4100   4100   6300   6300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14   W 15   W 15   W 15   NW 14  NW 14
DISPERSION INDX.12     35     56     56     96     96
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............2      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1800 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........36     28     28     23     15     15
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............92     87     83     81     80     79
RH..............55     67     75     79     82     84
20 FT WIND......W 5    S 2    S 2    SW 3   W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5200   1800   1800   1100   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9   N 5    N 5    N 5    NW 6   NW 6
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION INDX.54     2      2      2      3      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6400 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110810.HODGE.01/JAX