FNUS74 KMAF 102058
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMS CANYON...NMADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
358 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1431 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN BOTH THIS EVENING AND
THURSDAY...HOWEVER GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL ACCOMPANY ANY STORMS.  20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY
ERRATIC DUE TO A SURFACE TROUGH OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. EXPECT
WINDS TO BECOME WEST OR SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH THIS EVENING AND
THEN BECOME LIGHT TERRAIN DOMINATED LATE THIS EVENING.  THE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL REDEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AGAIN
THURSDAY...SO EXPECT WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH WILL OCCUR IN THE
MORNING...WITH WINDS POSSIBLY SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS SHOULD STAY 5 TO 10 MPH...EXCEPT IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE GOOD WITH MINIMUM RH/S THURSDAY DROPPING
TO NEAR 25 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH...GUSTS OVER 25
                    MPH MAY OCCUR IN THE EVENING. WINDS WILL BECOME
                    LIGHT TERRAIN DOMINATED
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
CHANCE OF PRECIP....25 PERCENT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC          S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM       TSTORM       NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....20           20           10
TEMP............103          87           79
RH..............30           36           49
20 FT WIND DIR..W            SW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12            6            4
20 FT WIND GUST.20           13
MIX HGT (FT)....15000        500          1000
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           SW           W
TRANS WIND SPD..3            7            12
VENT CAT........FAIR         POOR         POOR
HAINES INDEX....4            4            4

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (64300 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                          CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         TSTORM
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           40
TEMP............71           84           94
RH..............62           40           26
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           SW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD.. 4           5            7
20 FT WIND GUST.                          14
MIX HGT (FT)....500          1500         6000
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            W
TRANS WIND SPD..15           16           7
VENT CAT........POOR         POOR         FAIR
HAINES INDEX....4            4            3

$$

FORECASTER...LYSTER
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110810.TOMSC.01/MAF