FNUS73 KMQT 100953 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR M-2 NORTH...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 553 AM EDT WED AUG 10 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS ACROSS THE EAST HALF OF UPPER MICHIGAN ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING LEAVING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BY THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE. DRIER AIR WILL ALSO MOVE INTO THE REGION. DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S COMBINED WITH TEMPS INTO THE MID 70S WILL DROP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE 37 TO 42 PERCENT RANGE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 40 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1201) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1951) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (2054) BY LATE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200-8300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........50 23 20 21 21 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 73 73 73 72 RH..............57 47 43 40 45 GENERAL WIND....NW 13 NW 13 NW 14 NW 11 NW 11 GENERAL GUST....25 25 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100.1951 1959 1993 1916 1716 MIX HGT (FT)....7200 8200 8300 8000 7200 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 54. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 88 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1409) DECREASING TO POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........22 24 28 31 34 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 64 59 58 56 54 RH..............49 61 73 77 79 88 GENERAL WIND....NW 8 NW 8 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 GENERAL GUST....15 15 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.1409 377 0 38 32 9 MIX HGT (FT)....6100 2000 BLW100 300 200 100 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (459) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (790) IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-8000 FT AGL. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........42 44 46 48 45 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............59 67 75 78 79 79 RH..............78 65 52 48 48 51 GENERAL WIND....W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 6 GENERAL GUST....10 10 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.33 247 459 685 790 583 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2200 5100 7600 7900 7300 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...JLB REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110810.M2NOR.01/MQT