FNUS76 KOTX 101932
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROGERS...NEWICC DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1232 PM PDT WED AUG 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1307 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE FIRE LOCATION AROUND 1700
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO STRONGER WINDS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...ALONG WITH MUCH INCREASED INSTABILITY
BY EVENING. THE BEST CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS FROM THE FIRE LOCATION NORTHWARD.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL MOVE BRISKLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND
ARE LIKELY TO BE WET. THEY SHOULD TAPER OFF AND MOVE NORTHEAST EAST
OF THE FIRE AREA LATE TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY. INCREASING CLOUDS THIS AFTER-
                    NOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6500
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING WEST 2 TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NEAR
                    SURFACE OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 6500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...EK
REQUESTED BY...SHANE ROBSON ICT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110810.ROGER.01/OTX