FNUS74 KEPZ 111825
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR INDIAN CREEK...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1225 PM MDT THU AUG 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1200 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER NEW MEXICO AND AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW TRACKING SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WILL
BRING INCREASED MOISTURE TO THE AREA TODAY AND TOMORROW. THIS
WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND FRIDAY WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN AND THE CHANCE FOR LOCALIZED
FLOODING. THAT HIGH PRESSURFE ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTHEAST
OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE
PUMPING MOISTURE IN FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...PROVIDING THE FUEL
FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES DOWN TO NEAR NORMAL DUE TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION WITH MAINLY LIGHT WINDS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FROM THE MID 20S TO MID 30S WITH VERY LOW (2 OR 3) HAINES INDICES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EAST BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........GOOD (64000 KT-FT).


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 5 KNOTS.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........FAIR (46800 KT-FT).


$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110811.INDIA.01/EPZ