FNUS75 KGJT 111407
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR REDDING...SOUTHERN UTE BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
807 AM MDT THU AUG 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0707 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MID LEVEL MOISTURE ROTATING THROUGH SOUTHERN COLORADO MAY SPARK A FEW
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE FIRE SITE. A THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE OUTFLOW WINDS PRODUCING STRONGER WIND GUSTS.
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW DAYS WITH
WINDS INCREASING FROM THE WEST BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS DEEP MIXING ONCE
AGAIN TAKES PLACE. THE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AGAIN FOR
FRIDAY BUT LIMITED MOISTURE ALOFT ALSO LOOKS TO LIMIT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 TO 27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH TURNING WEST EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 3000 FT AGL BY MID MORNING INCREASING TO
                    10300 FT AGL IN BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 49 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DROPPING TO LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AND INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR IN THE MORNING LIFTING TO FAIR BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON  FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110811.REDDI.01/GJT