FNUS75 KGJT 111440
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WINTER...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
840 AM MDT THU AUG 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0744 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 202 BELOW 7000 FEET...

.DISCUSSION...
VERY DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN LEAD TO DEEP MIXING ALLOWING
WINDS TO GUST UP NEAR THE 30 MPH MARK THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY
NEAR RIDGETOPS. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AGAIN AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LOOK LIKELY TO
PERSIST INTO THE MID EVENING HOURS BEFORE WINDS DECREASE. HUMIDITY
WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER HOWEVER ESPECIALLY AT THERMAL BELTS ABOVE
THE SHALLOW INVERSIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. WINDS LOOK
SLIGHTLY LESS ON FRIDAY...HOWEVER THE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE WITH MINIMAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 25% BY MID MORNING WITH A MIN OF 8 TO 13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY NEAR 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER
                    25 MPH POSSIBLE BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....5O TO 55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT
                    5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110811.WINTE.01/GJT