FNUS72 KILM 112020 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 420 PM EDT THU AUG 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1612 EDT ON AUGUST 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT..THEN WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA BEFORE DISSIPATING ON FRIDAY. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION EARLY ON MONDAY...BRINGING A DECENT CHANCE OF RAINFALL. THE FRONT WILL ALSO BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............27. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............89 59 48 30 24 29 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................90 86 79 73 70 69 RH..................42 53 67 79 86 93 20 FT WIND..........E 4 E 4 E 3 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 4 6 7 ADI.................27 3 3 3 1 1 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5900-6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING EAST 8 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX LVORI...........9. MAX ADI.............32. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............37 56 57 59 61 63 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................69 70 78 85 88 89 RH..................98 100 75 57 50 46 20 FT WIND..........SE 2 E 3 E 3 E 4 SE 4 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............9 5 4 3 1 2 ADI.................5 13 0 0 32 0 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............9. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............67 69 67 63 61 65 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................87 82 77 74 72 71 RH..................48 59 73 85 91 94 20 FT WIND..........SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 3 4 6 6 8 ADI.................0 8 0 0 5 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5900-7200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............42. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............71 75 72 68 65 65 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................71 72 80 86 88 88 RH..................93 89 70 58 53 50 20 FT WIND..........SE 3 SE 3 SE 4 SE 5 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 LVORI...............8 5 4 3 1 2 ADI.................0 10 0 0 38 0 $$ FORECASTER...BACON REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110811.SIMMO.01/ILM