FNUS74 KLCH 110956
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR LACASSINE POOL G1...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
456 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
RIDGING IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL LIMIT RAIN CHANCES AND
MAINTAIN THE HOT CONDITIONS OVER THE SPOT AREA TODAY. AFTERNOON HEAT
INDICES WILL BE AROUND 108 DEGREES BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM. WINDS
WILL BE SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH TODAY WITH GUSTS NEAR 15 MPH DURING THE
AFTERNOON. FOG DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT DUE TO THE
DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5300-7100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3800-5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
                    14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........33  32  31  30  29  29  28  28  27  27  26  25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............86  88  89  91  92  93  93  93  92  91  90  88
RH..............70  66  63  60  58  56  56  56  57  61  64  69
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 4.4 5.3 6.2 7.1 6.8 6.4 6.1 5.0 3.8 2.7 1.9
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   10  14  15  13
TRANS SPD (M/S).2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   6   7   6
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5800-7600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO
                    10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LOCKWOOD
REQUESTED BY...MATT JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110811.LACAS.01/LCH