FNAK79 PAFG 112025
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOOSE CREEK PILE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1225 PM AKDT THU AUG 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LATEST MODEL RUNS SHOW THAT A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER
INTERIOR ALASKA WILL BREAK DOWN BY FRIDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA DEVELOPS. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE LOW WILL BE
OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN THE
    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AYCOCK
REQUESTED BY...CHARLIE REYNAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110812.MOOSE.01/AFG