FNUS73 KMQT 121307 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR M-2 NORTH...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 907 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO UPPER MICHIGAN TODAY...BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SITE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. AS MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY...AROUND 49 PERCENT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 10 MPH WITH PERHAPS A FEW GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TOMORROW AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........THICKENING CLOUDS. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (171) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (354) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (939) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (420) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7200 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.04 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........51 57 59 64 68 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............71 79 79 79 78 RH..............68 52 50 49 55 GENERAL WIND....SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 GENERAL GUST....15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.171 644 939 608 420 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 5400 7200 6800 6000 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 59. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................2. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........69 65 60 56 61 67 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............76 70 64 63 62 60 RH..............65 77 88 87 85 94 GENERAL WIND....SW 6 SW 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 GENERAL GUST....10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 76. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 61 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................2. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.11 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........72 73 75 76 76 76 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 68 73 75 76 75 RH..............97 84 70 63 61 62 GENERAL WIND....SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 E 6 E 6 NE 6 GENERAL GUST....10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...MCB REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110812.M2NOR.01/MQT