FNUS75 KBOU 132011 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LONGS PEAK RESCUE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 211 PM MDT SAT AUG 13 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH WEAK TO MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT. THE AIRMASS IS DRY AND STABLE ENOUGH TO LIMIT SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. MORE MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE STATE ON SUNDAY. DAYTIME HEATING ON SUNDAY MAY CAUSE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS TO DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1500...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-60. MIN HUMIDITY........20-26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 1500...THEN 6200-7000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400. FAIR AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-36. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-58. MIN HUMIDITY........52-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LONGSPEAK RESCUE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/13-13 3 0 1 53 30 W 6 6 4 1 W23 3365 W 6 23779 P 08/13-14 3 0 4 54 26 SW 7 7 4 3 W24 5150 W 8 42438 F 08/13-15 33 12 4 54 25 SW 8 8 4 3 W24 6936 W10 61098 G 08/13-16 33 12 4 55 23 SW 8 8 4 3 W26 6597 W10 56993 F 08/13-17 33 12 4 54 24 W 8 8 4 3 W28 6258 SW 9 52888 F 08/13-18 42 11 4 53 26 W 8 8 4 3 W29 5918 SW 9 48783 F 08/13-19 42 11 4 50 33 SW 7 7 4 3 W29 4048 SW 9 33184 P 08/13-20 42 11 4 45 46 S 6 6 5 3 W28 2178 S 8 17584 P 08/13-21 40 11 4 41 60 S 5 5 5 3 W26 308 SE 7 1984 P 08/13-22 40 0 4 40 71 S 5 5 5 3 W24 267 S 7 1590 P 08/13-23 40 0 4 38 83 W 5 5 4 3 W22 227 S 6 1197 P 08/14-00 40 0 1 38 86 W 6 6 4 1 W18 186 SW 5 803 P 08/14-01 40 0 1 38 84 W 7 7 4 1 W16 195 SW 7 1114 P 08/14-02 40 0 1 37 83 SW 8 8 4 1 W14 204 SW 8 1425 P 08/14-03 40 0 1 35 84 SW10 16 4 1 W12 213 SW 9 1735 P 08/14-04 40 0 1 34 88 SW13 20 4 1 W13 208 SW10 1852 P 08/14-05 40 0 1 34 92 W15 22 4 1 SW14 203 W12 1969 P 08/14-06 47 0 1 33 100 W16 24 4 1 SW15 197 W13 2085 P 08/14-07 47 0 1 34 96 W16 23 4 1 SW15 221 W12 2121 P 08/14-08 47 0 1 36 90 W14 22 5 1 SW14 245 W10 2157 P 08/14-09 47 0 1 41 76 W13 20 5 1 W13 269 W 9 2193 P 08/14-10 47 0 1 45 66 W12 17 4 1 SW20 2597 W 9 21867 P 08/14-11 47 0 1 49 58 W10 16 4 1 SW20 4798 W 9 40531 F 08/14-12 70 43 20 50 57 W10 16 4 4 SW20 6999 W 9 59196 F 08/14-13 70 43 20 51 55 W12 17 4 4 SW21 5726 W10 50202 F 08/14-14 78 43 20 52 54 W13 20 4 4 SW22 4452 W12 41209 F 08/14-15 78 43 20 52 56 W14 21 4 4 SW22 3179 W12 32215 P 08/14-16 78 43 20 53 57 W14 21 4 4 SW21 3737 W10 32974 P 08/14-17 78 43 20 52 59 W13 20 4 4 SW18 4295 W 9 33732 P 08/14-18 78 38 16 51 63 W12 17 4 4 S16 4854 W 8 34490 P 08/14-19 78 38 16 49 70 W 9 16 4 4 S14 3313 W 8 23470 P 08/14-20 78 38 16 45 82 W 8 13 4 4 S12 1773 W 7 12450 P 08/14-21 78 38 16 42 91 W 7 7 4 4 S10 232 W 7 1430 P 08/14-22 78 38 16 41 96 W 7 7 4 4 S13 214 W 8 1413 P 08/14-23 78 38 16 40 100 W 8 13 4 4 SW16 196 W 8 1397 P 08/15-00 52 20 4 40 100 W 9 15 4 3 SW20 178 W 9 1381 P 08/15-01 52 20 4 40 100 W10 17 4 3 SW21 178 W10 1540 P 08/15-02 52 20 4 39 100 W12 18 4 3 SW21 179 W12 1700 P 08/15-03 52 20 4 37 100 W13 21 4 3 SW21 179 W12 1860 P 08/15-04 52 20 4 37 100 W13 21 4 3 SW23 174 W12 1766 P 08/15-05 52 20 4 37 100 W13 20 4 3 SW25 169 W12 1672 P 08/15-06 52 20 4 36 100 W12 18 4 3 SW26 164 W12 1578 P 08/15-07 52 20 4 37 100 SW10 16 4 3 SW25 520 W12 5035 P 08/15-08 52 20 4 38 97 SW 9 15 4 3 W24 875 W12 8491 P 08/15-09 52 20 4 42 83 S 9 15 4 3 W24 1231 SW12 11948 P 08/15-10 52 20 4 45 72 SW12 18 4 3 W23 2033 W14 27502 P 08/15-11 52 20 4 48 64 W14 23 4 3 W22 2835 W16 43057 F 08/15-12 55 30 9 49 62 W17 28 4 4 W23 3637 W18 58612 F 08/15-13 55 30 9 50 59 W20 31 4 4 W25 3703 W20 64255 G 08/15-14 55 30 9 51 57 W21 33 4 4 W29 3769 W22 69898 G 08/15-15 55 30 9 51 58 W21 33 4 4 W31 3835 W23 75542 G 08/15-16 55 30 9 51 59 W18 30 4 4 W31 4196 W21 75496 G 08/15-17 55 30 9 50 62 W15 24 4 4 W29 4556 W20 75451 G 08/15-18 55 30 9 49 64 W13 21 4 4 W28 4917 W17 75405 G 08/15-19 55 30 9 47 67 W12 18 4 4 W29 3406 W16 51586 F 08/15-20 55 30 9 43 74 W12 18 4 4 W30 1895 W14 27768 P 08/15-21 55 30 9 41 76 W12 18 4 4 W31 384 W12 3949 P 08/15-22 55 30 9 40 74 W12 18 4 4 W30 321 W12 3261 P 08/15-23 55 30 9 38 74 W12 18 4 4 W28 258 W12 2573 P 08/16-00 35 5 1 38 69 W12 18 4 1 W29 195 W12 1886 P 08/16-01 35 5 1 38 66 W13 20 4 1 W33 185 W12 1807 P 08/16-02 35 5 1 37 65 W13 21 4 1 W39 175 W12 1729 P 08/16-03 35 5 1 36 67 W14 22 4 1 W44 166 W12 1651 P 08/16-04 35 5 1 35 66 W15 23 4 1 W46 160 W12 1615 P 08/16-05 35 5 1 35 66 W15 24 4 1 W47 154 W12 1579 P 08/16-06 35 5 1 34 70 W15 24 4 1 W48 149 W12 1543 P 08/16-07 35 5 1 35 69 W15 24 1 08/16-08 35 5 1 37 69 W14 23 1 08/16-09 35 5 1 41 63 W14 22 1 08/16-10 35 5 1 44 58 W14 21 1 08/16-11 35 5 1 48 53 SW13 21 1 08/16-12 55 23 5 49 53 SW13 21 3 08/16-13 55 23 5 50 53 SW13 21 3 08/16-14 55 23 5 51 53 W14 21 3 08/16-15 55 23 5 51 55 W14 22 3 08/16-16 55 23 5 51 56 W15 23 3 08/16-17 55 23 5 51 58 W15 24 3 08/16-18 55 23 5 50 60 W15 24 3 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PATTY SHAFER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110813.LONGS.01/BOU