FNUS75 KCYS 131534
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER CREEK...CASPER DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
934 AM MDT SAT AUG 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0913 MDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE CONVERSE COUNTY TODAY WITH GENERALLY
LIGHT WINDS...CLEAR SKIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES. AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES
EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE MID TEENS ONCE AGAIN TODAY AND WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY TOWARDS NOON. HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES OFF TO THE EAST OF THE BURN AREA SUNDAY AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN INCREASING MID MORNING SUNDAY. WINDS COULD
BECOME QUITE GUSTY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS HUMIDITIES DROP INTO THE LOW
TEENS AND WINDS GUST TO 30 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE 2 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    10 TO 14 MPH BY NOON. WINDS MAY GUST TO 20 MPH
                    AFTER 2 PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (34800-49500 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10
                    TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-49000 KNOT-FT).

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    WEST 12 TO 16 MPH BY 11 AM. BY 1 PM...WEST WINDS
                    14 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (60800-138600 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...CLAYCOMB
REQUESTED BY...IC SHORT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110813.DEERC.01/CYS