FNUS72 KJAX 131054 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE...FFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 654 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0636 EDT ON AUGUST 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WITH BOTH WEST AND EAST COAST SEA BREEZES WILL HELP PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A VARIABLE TO LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND IS EXPECTED IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON FOR THE HONEY PRAIRIE LOCATION. THERE IS A CHANCE OF 20 FOOT EASTERLY WINDS AFFECTING THE SITE LATE AFTERNOON AFTER ABOUT 4 PM. HOT TEMPERATURES WITH HEAT INDICES AROUND 106 ACROSS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. RH VALUES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN IN RECENT DAYS. WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH. ON SUNDAY...A PREVAILING WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AND LOWER RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-6900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3 MPH... IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....21. CHANCE OF PCPN......40-50 PERCENT. BEST CHANCE IN AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........30 34 42 45 52 55 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............74 81 91 96 96 93 RH..............93 75 59 48 45 50 20 FT WIND......S 1 W 1 NW 2 N 2 ENE 2 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.3 4 5 5 5 6 MIX HGT (FT)....400 1700 4500 4900 6500 6900 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 2 W 3 NW 2 NW 2 N 2 W 3 DISPERSION INDX.2 8 18 20 24 34 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 50 50 LAL.............1 2 2 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1700 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. DISPERSION INDEX....3. CHANCE OF PCPN......30-40 PERCENT. LVORI...............8. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........56 50 48 38 36 33 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............90 84 80 78 76 75 RH..............56 74 85 90 94 98 20 FT WIND......SE 3 S 3 SW 3 SW 5 W 3 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....6900 1700 1700 1100 600 600 TRANSPORT WIND..W 3 S 6 S 6 SW 6 W 6 W 6 LVORI...........8 8 8 8 8 8 DISPERSION INDX.34 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 10 10 LAL.............3 3 3 3 1 1 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......30-40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...KEITH MOUSEL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110813.HONEY.01/JAX