FNUS71 KRNK 131452 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR LEE INCIDENT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1052 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1029 EDT ON AUGUST 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SUNDAY. UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT...WHICH INCLUDES TODAY AND TONIGHT...EXPECT A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS...AND HIGH HUMIDITY. A HALF INCH /0.50/ TO AN INCH /1.00/ OF RAIN IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 2PM TODAY AND 2PM SUNDAY. AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY...WITH DRY WEATHER ANTICIPATED FOR MONDAY...TUESDAY...AND WEDNESDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY AFTER 2PM...BECOMING MORE LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTH WIND...7 MPH OR LESS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE...1 TO 3 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............92 77 64 72 WEATHER COV.........NONE NONE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........ RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE LIKELY TEMP................73 76 79 80 RH..................87 77 70 66 20 FT WIND..........SE 2 SE 3 S 4 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 CWR.................0 15 50 60 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............79 82 87 93 97 99 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMP................78 74 71 69 68 67 RH..................66 75 81 87 93 97 20 FT WIND..........SE 2 E 2 SE 2 SE 2 S 1 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 CWR.................60 50 50 60 60 70 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............100 100 97 93 91 89 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY TEMP................66 67 70 73 74 75 RH..................99 92 85 78 72 71 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 S 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 10 10 CWR.................80 80 80 80 70 70 $$ FORECASTER...MANUEL REQUESTED BY...CASSCROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110813.LEEIN.01/RNK