FNUS75 KRIW 141514
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR OTTER CREEK...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
914 AM MDT SUN AUG 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0818 MDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRACKING INTO THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTHWEST WILL DRAW IN INCREASING MONSOON MOISTURE AND PRODUCE
SCATTERED LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...ALONG WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE DISTRICT ON TUESDAY
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
FRONT FOLLOWED BY COOL...DRY AND STABLE AIR.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS
                    MORNING...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE FIRE...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-64.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-49 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH
                    BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.9 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5-9 MPH. WEST NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH BY 1200...
                    THEN INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH BY 1400. WINDS
                    NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH BY 1600. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.13 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...CODY DISPATCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110814.OTTER.01/RIW