FNUS75 KBOU 151234 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST PARK SAR...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 623 AM MDT MON AUG 15 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE STATE THIS MORNING. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A LESSER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) UNTIL 1200 THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-46. MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 7-13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-63. MIN HUMIDITY........29-33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOST PARK SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/15-06 59 10 2 43 82 W12 18 3 1 W37 238 W14 2938 P 08/15-07 59 10 2 44 79 W12 18 3 1 W33 426 W15 5388 P 08/15-08 59 10 2 45 78 W12 18 3 1 W30 615 W15 7837 P 08/15-09 59 10 2 49 67 W12 18 3 1 W25 803 W15 10287 P 08/15-10 59 10 2 54 57 W10 17 3 1 W23 2557 W14 24837 P 08/15-11 59 10 2 56 53 NW 9 15 3 1 W22 4311 NW12 39387 P 08/15-12 57 28 8 58 49 NW 8 13 3 4 W22 6064 NW10 53938 F 08/15-13 57 28 8 59 47 NW 7 7 3 4 W21 7154 NW 9 59695 F 08/15-14 57 28 8 60 46 NW 7 7 3 4 W20 8243 NW 9 65453 G 08/15-15 57 28 8 59 46 N 6 6 3 4 W20 9333 NW 9 71211 G 08/15-16 57 28 8 60 45 N 5 5 3 4 W21 8620 NW 8 62121 G 08/15-17 57 28 8 59 46 N 5 5 3 4 NW22 7907 NW 8 53031 F 08/15-18 59 26 6 58 47 N 3 3 3 4 NW23 7194 NW 7 43942 F 08/15-19 59 26 6 56 50 N 3 3 3 4 NW22 4898 NW 6 29712 P 08/15-20 59 26 6 55 53 NW 3 3 3 4 NW18 2602 NW 6 15483 P 08/15-21 59 26 6 52 59 NW 3 3 3 4 NW16 306 NW 5 1254 P 08/15-22 59 26 6 50 62 NW 5 5 3 4 NW15 272 NW 6 1248 P 08/15-23 59 26 6 49 65 NW 6 6 3 4 NW14 238 NW 6 1241 P 08/16-00 20 6 1 48 68 NW 7 7 3 1 NW14 204 NW 7 1235 P 08/16-01 20 6 1 47 70 W 8 13 3 1 NW15 206 NW 7 1262 P 08/16-02 20 6 1 47 69 W 8 13 3 1 NW15 208 W 7 1289 P 08/16-03 20 6 1 46 70 W 8 13 3 1 NW16 210 W 7 1317 P 08/16-04 20 6 1 45 71 W 7 7 3 1 W16 225 W 6 1193 P 08/16-05 20 6 1 45 71 W 6 6 4 1 W16 240 W 6 1070 P 08/16-06 15 0 0 45 70 SW 5 5 4 1 W16 255 W 5 946 P 08/16-07 15 0 0 45 68 SW 5 5 4 1 W16 402 W 5 1536 P 08/16-08 15 0 0 46 65 SW 5 5 5 1 W16 549 W 5 2126 P 08/16-09 15 0 0 48 60 SW 6 6 5 1 W16 695 W 5 2716 P 08/16-10 15 0 0 51 52 SW 5 5 5 1 W17 3663 W 6 19528 P 08/16-11 15 0 0 55 45 SW 3 3 4 1 W17 6613 W 6 35540 P 08/16-12 52 19 4 59 39 SW 2 2 4 3 W16 9563 W 6 51551 F 08/16-13 52 19 4 62 35 SW 2 2 4 3 W16 10107 W 6 52644 F 08/16-14 52 19 4 63 33 S 2 2 4 3 W16 10651 SW 6 53736 F 08/16-15 53 23 5 63 33 S 3 3 4 3 W15 11195 SW 6 54828 F 08/16-16 53 23 5 62 35 SE 5 5 4 3 SW14 8309 W 6 39889 P 08/16-17 53 23 5 58 40 NE 5 5 3 3 SW13 5424 N 5 24950 P 08/16-18 58 20 4 54 47 NE 6 6 3 3 SW13 2538 NE 5 10011 P 08/16-19 58 20 4 51 54 NE 7 7 3 3 SW17 1769 NE 6 7276 P 08/16-20 58 20 4 48 61 NE 8 13 4 3 SW22 999 NE 8 4541 P 08/16-21 58 20 4 45 67 NE 8 13 4 3 W26 230 NE 9 1806 P 08/16-22 58 20 4 45 69 E 7 7 4 3 W28 241 E 7 1528 P 08/16-23 58 20 4 46 68 SE 6 6 3 3 W28 251 SE 6 1250 P 08/17-00 55 8 2 46 67 S 5 5 3 1 W28 262 SE 5 971 P 08/17-01 55 8 2 45 69 S 3 3 3 1 W28 270 SE 3 871 P 08/17-02 55 8 2 44 71 S 3 3 3 1 W28 279 SE 3 772 P 08/17-03 55 8 2 44 72 S 3 3 3 1 W28 287 SE 2 672 P 08/17-04 55 8 2 44 72 S 5 5 3 1 W28 272 S 5 1009 P 08/17-05 55 8 2 44 72 SW 7 7 3 1 W28 257 S 6 1346 P 08/17-06 42 4 0 44 72 SW 8 13 3 1 W28 242 SW 8 1683 P 08/17-07 42 4 0 45 71 SW 9 14 3 1 W29 323 SW 9 2541 P 08/17-08 42 4 0 46 69 SW 9 14 3 1 W29 404 SW 9 3399 P 08/17-09 42 4 0 48 67 SW 9 15 3 1 W29 485 SW10 4257 P 08/17-10 42 4 0 49 64 SW10 16 3 1 W29 1355 SW10 13858 P 08/17-11 42 4 0 51 60 SW12 17 3 1 W30 2225 W12 23459 P 08/17-12 50 10 2 54 55 SW12 18 3 2 W30 3094 W13 33060 P 08/17-13 50 10 2 57 48 W12 18 3 2 W31 5978 W14 81242 G 08/17-14 50 10 2 61 41 W12 18 3 2 W31 8861 W16 129423 V 08/17-15 50 10 2 64 38 W10 16 3 2 W31 11744 W17 177604 E 08/17-16 50 10 2 65 37 W 8 14 3 2 W30 10465 W15 140889 V 08/17-17 50 10 2 64 39 NW 6 6 4 2 W29 9186 W13 104173 V 08/17-18 52 13 3 62 42 NW 5 5 4 2 W28 7907 W10 67458 G 08/17-19 52 13 3 60 46 W 3 3 4 2 W28 5368 W 8 45470 F 08/17-20 52 13 3 57 51 SW 5 5 3 2 W29 2829 S 7 23483 P 08/17-21 52 13 3 54 57 S 5 5 3 2 W30 290 S 6 1496 P 08/17-22 52 13 3 52 61 S 6 6 3 2 W31 276 S 7 1530 P 08/17-23 52 13 3 50 63 S 6 6 3 2 W32 261 S 7 1564 P 08/18-00 51 7 1 49 65 SW 7 7 3 1 W32 247 S 7 1598 P 08/18-01 51 7 1 48 67 SW 8 13 3 1 W32 224 SW 8 1517 P 08/18-02 51 7 1 47 69 SW 8 14 4 1 W32 202 SW 8 1436 P 08/18-03 51 7 1 46 69 SW 9 15 4 1 W31 180 SW 9 1356 P 08/18-04 51 7 1 45 69 W 9 15 4 1 W30 170 SW 9 1277 P 08/18-05 51 7 1 45 67 W 9 15 4 1 NW30 160 W 9 1198 P 08/18-06 9 3 1 46 63 W 9 15 4 1 NW29 150 W 8 1120 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PARK COUNTY DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110815.LOSTP.01/BOU