FNUS75 KMSO 152257
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR LUTZ
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
457 PM MDT MON AUG 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1615 MDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE WILDFIRE BETWEEN
NOW AND 7PM PRODUCING THE STRONGEST WINDS YET TODAY. GUSTS BETWEEN 25
AND 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY DECREASING
DURING THE EVENING HOURS AROUND SUNSET. THE MAIN THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAS TRANSITIONED WELL EAST OF THE FIRE BUT STILL CANNOT
RULE OUT A STORM DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT. BUT THESE STORMS WILL
POSSESS LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION. CONDITIONS TUESDAY WILL BE COOLER
AND DRY WITH MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS INCREASING 13 TO 18 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OF THUNDERSTORM.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH
                    TILL AROUND 800 PM MDT...THE DECREASING TO 5-10 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 2-5 MPH BY
                    MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST 6-10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$

FORECASTER...DICKERSON
REQUESTED BY...LEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110815.LUTZ_.03/MSO