FNUS75 KRIW 151942
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTON POINT...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
142 PM MDT MON AUG 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1321 MDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

INCREASING CLOUD COVER OVER THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON WILL KEEP THE
FIRE FROM SEEING MUCH MORE IN THE WAY OF DAYTIME HEATING. MOISTURE
ACROSS THE AREA WILL GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE
FIRE...WITH ACTIVITY SEEING THE POTENTIAL TO IMPACT THE FIRE SITE
THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN FIRE PERIMETER. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY WILL
WEAKEN OVERNIGHT...WITH DRY CONDITIONS AGAIN EXPECTED BY THE
MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED
OVER THE FIRE TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY INCREASED HUMIDITY.
HOWEVER...WARMING AND DRYING CONDITIONS TO RETURN TO THE FIRE BY
WEDNESDAY...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRANHAM

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76 BELOW 9500 FT...69-73 ABOVE 9500 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-22 PERCENT BELOW 9500 FT...21-26 PERCENT
                    ABOVE 9500 FT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH BY 1500.
LAL.................4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-43 BELOW 9500 FT...37-41 ABOVE 9500 FT.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT BELOW 9500 FT....60-65 PERCENT
                    ABOVE 9500 FT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 8 TO 12
                    MPH BY 0400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST
                    12 TO 16 MPH BY 0200.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72 BELOW 9500 FT....64-69 ABOVE 9500 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-16 PERCENT BELOW 9500 FT...15-20 PERCENT
                    ABOVE 9500 FT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AFTER 1400.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH BY 1300.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRANHAM
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN HILLARD
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110815.NORTO.01/RIW