FNUS73 KAPX 161218 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BRITTLE 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 818 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MAINLY FAIR WEATHER TO THE BURN AREA FOR TODAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A FEW ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS...BUT OVERALL THE BURN REGION WILL LIKELY REMAIN RAIN-FREE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST THIS MORNING...THEN WILL STEADILY VEER TO A SOUTHEAST DIRECTION BY THIS AFTERNOON...AS A LAKE BREEZE PUSHES INLAND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME HUMIDITY RECOVERY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 86. RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-7400 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (500). TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........12 12 12 55 55 55 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............74 78 80 82 83 82 81 RH..............51 44 40 36 34 34 37 20 FT WIND DIR..N NE E SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......400 500 400 400 300 200 100 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........60 60 40 40 40 9 9 9 56 56 56 56 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............79 77 74 71 68 65 64 63 63 62 62 61 RH..............41 46 53 61 70 78 81 87 87 87 87 87 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......300 300 200 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...NICK SCHWARTZ/JEFF LUTZ REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STEARNS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110816.BRITT.01/APX