FNUS73 KAPX 161432
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP 10...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1032 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER
TODAY BRINGING PRECIPITATION FREE CONDITIONS. SUNNY SKIES THIS
MORNING WILL GAVE WAY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO
THE HEATING OF THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE
MIDDLE 30S DUE TO THE MIXING DOWN OF DRY AIR ALOFT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 86.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...S WINDS AT 3 TO 5 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (300) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (300).

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14  14  50  50  50  50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............75  78  81  82  83  82
RH..............48  41  36  34  33  34
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......300 300 300 200 100 100

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........50  50  40  40  40  14  14  14  49  49  49  59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............81  79  76  72  68  65  63  62  62  62  62  62
RH..............38  44  54  55  68  78  84  87  87  87  84  84
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   3   3   4   4   3   3   2   2   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  5   5   5   10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...ANDREW SULLIVAN
REQUESTED BY...ANDERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110816.CAMP1.01/APX