FNUS75 KGJT 161532
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY PARK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
932 AM MDT TUE AUG 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0915 MDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRIER CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO
TODAY AS THE DEEP SURGE OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE GETS SUPPRESSED TO
THE SOUTH. DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH DEEP MIXING LEADING TO LOCALLY GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST AND INCREASING TO
                    5-10 MPH. A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH BETWEEN 1400 AND
                    1800.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12600 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LOWERING TO LESS THAN
                    10000 KNOT-FT) BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...LUKE ODOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110816.DRYPA.01/GJT