FNUS72 KMFL 161124 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR RACCOON 4...BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 724 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 EDT ON AUGUST 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH TODAY WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS EAST U.S. AND NORTH FLORIDA RESPECTIVELY. THIS SW FLOW BETWEEN THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND SURFACE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH WILL DRIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SCATTERED STORMS OVER THE COASTAL GULF AND GULF COAST WILL MOVE INLAND AND BECOME SCATTERED NEAR THE BURN SITE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 30. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......MISSING. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 60 60 60 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............79 88 92 93 90 86 RH..............97 74 60 54 61 70 20 FT WIND......S 1 S 1 S 4 SW 6 SW 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 1 S 1 S 4 SW 6 SW 6 W 5 EYE LEVEL WIND.. 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1600 3100 4500 4500 4000 MIXNG WIND......SE 1 SE 1 W 6 SW 12 SW 12 W 9 DISPERSION IDX..4 4 20 33 33 27 LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).M M M M M 50 LAL.............2 2 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 75. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 0 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....27 DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............9. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 0 TO 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 28. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...TINGLER REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TURNBO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110816.RACCO.01/MFL