FNUS75 KRIW 161737
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRENCHIE BASIN...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1137 AM MDT TUE AUG 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1107 MDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...IT WILL BE DRY TODAY WITH WINDS BECOMING MORE AND MORE
DRIVEN BY THE DIURNAL CYCLE IN THE AFTERNOON. WEST RIDGETOP WINDS WILL
LIKELY SWITCH BACK AND FORTH IN DIRECTION TODAY IN DEVELOPING LIGHT
FLOW. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THIS EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY AS
A GENERALLY SOUTHEAST FLOW BACKS TO THE SOUTH AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHWEST
OVERNIGHT. IT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE WARMER WITH MINIMUM RH'S UNDER 15 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-10 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) AFTER 1500L.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH
                    AFTER 1300L.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE AT 4-8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1400L.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30000-40000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 7-14 MPH GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AND
                    EVENTUALLY SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AND
                    EVENTUALLY SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000-39000 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000-11000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (41000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (134800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...BOB BUHR
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110816.FRENC.01/RIW