FNUS72 KTAE 161228
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 400...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
828 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...A DRIER AIRMASS HAS ARRIVED ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA. A
VERY LIGHT GRADIENT WILL KEEP WINDS LIGHT THIS MORNING AND THEN
ALLOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WELL DEFINED SEA-BREEZE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE VERY LOW DUE
TO ALL THE DRY AIR ALOFT. TRANSPORT WIND WILL ALSO BE QUITE LOW.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE A DIFFICULT FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON.
WILL EXPECT DIURNAL MIXING TO LOWER DEWPOINTS LATER THIS MORNING
AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
SHOULD COME BACK ONSHORE WITH THE SEA-BREEZE LATER TODAY. WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT OFFSHORE AFTER MIDNIGHT. A SLOW INCREASE IN
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH JUST AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF
AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND
                    MIDDAY...THEN BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AND
                    INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................NEAR 0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO BETWEEN 3500-4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH AROUND MIDDAY...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....AROUND 40.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........20     20     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............80     88     91     91
RH..............51     38     36     40
20 FT WIND......NE 4   N 3    SW 5   SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.6      7      10     13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........20     30     30     25     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............89     86     82     79     76     74
RH..............43     54     65     74     82     86
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 7   W 4    NW 3   N 2    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13     11     8      6      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON .
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO
                    7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....30-35.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........20     30     30     40     50     50
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............73     72     83     89     92     94
RH..............89     91     60     46     42     39
20 FT WIND......NE 2   NE 2   E 2    SE 3   SE 4   S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     15

$$
FORECASTER...BRYAN MROCZKA
REQUESTED BY...JOEY LORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110816.UNIT4.01/TAE