FNUS74 KEPZ 171502
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS PILES...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
902 AM MDT WED AUG 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0855 MDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BRING VERY MOIST SOUTHEAST FLOW OFF THE
GULF OF MEXICO THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE VERY MOIST AIR COMBINED
WITH STRONG DAYTIME HEATING AND WEAK STEERING FLOW ALOFT WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE SLOW MOVING STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDDAY WITH THE
THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EACH DAY. MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL BE
IN THE 30 PERCENT RANGE EACH AFTERNOON WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS
AND VERY LOW (2 OR 3) HAINES INDICES. VENTILATION WILL REMAIN
POOR BOTH DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT THIS MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    3 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........POOR (26000 KT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT TIL AROUND 10 PM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH THIS EVENING THEN
                    DRAINAGE WINDS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 KNOTS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EARLY...THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........POOR (19500 KT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110817.WILDE.01/EPZ