FNUS75 KRIW 180010 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR TABLE MOUNTAIN...BLM RSD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 610 PM MDT WED AUG 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1732 MDT ON AUGUST 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER. HUMIDITIES BELOW 10 PERCENT ARE LIKELY THURSDAY AFTERNOON ALONG WITH GUSTY WEST WIND. OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE MARGINAL. A WEAK SURGE OF MONSOON MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH WILL REACH THE FIRE SITE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...JONES .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-46. MAX HUMIDITY........56-60 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH BY 2200. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN DECREASING TO LESS THAN 500 FT AGL AFTER BY 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1900...THEN BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH BY 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN BECOMING POOR BY 2200. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-86. MIN HUMIDITY........8-11 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 9 MPH BY 1100. AFTER 1230...WEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 1400. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT UNTIL 0900...THEN GRADUALLY INCREASING TO AROUND 11000 FT AGL BY 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20 MPH BY 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GRADUALLY INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1300. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT... THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-50 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-48. MAX HUMIDITY........50-53 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH BY 2200. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN DECREASING TO LESS THAN 500 FT AGL BY 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH BY 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN BECOMING POOR BY 2200. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...JONES REQUESTED BY...RICHARD PUTNAM REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110817.TABLE.01/RIW