FNUS71 KRNK 171537
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR LEE INCIDENT...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1137 AM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1116 EDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING A WARMING TREND. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...BRINGING A RETURN TO HIGHER HUMIDITY AS
WELL AS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY...AND THEN
ANOTHER COLD FRONT TRAVELS THROUGH THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS...BECOMING 5 TO
                    6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............10     30     38     31
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................77     82     86     86
RH..................60     46     39     37
20 FT WIND..........S 1    SW 3   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     10
CWR.................0      0      0      10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH...DECREASING TO 2 TO 3
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............32     39     44     41     40     38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................84     77     72     69     67     66
RH..................41     55     60     68     72     75
20 FT WIND..........SW 5   SW 3   S 2    S 1    S 1    SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5
CWR.................10     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............42     45     51     56     66     68
WEATHER COV.........                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................64     66     71     76     79     80
RH..................80     80     68     59     54     51
20 FT WIND..........W 1    W 1    SW 3   SW 3   W 2    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....              5      5      5      5
CWR.................10     10     10     20     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...JACKSON
REQUESTED BY...JEAN BRADLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110817.LEEIN.01/RNK