FNUS71 KRNK 172236 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR RAINBOW ROCKS...U. S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 636 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1819 EDT ON AUGUST 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SKIES SHOULD SLOWLY CLEAR THIS EVENING WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE ACROSS ALL EXCEPT THE HIGHER RIDGES...ABOVE 2500 FEET...WHERE SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WILL CONTINUE. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR HUMIDITY LEVELS TO RECOVER BACK TO ABOVE 50-60 PERCENT AROUND MIDNIGHT...WITH FURTHER MOISTENING TO NEAR SATURATION ACROSS THE VALLEYS BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY WHEN SOME FOG IS POSSIBLE. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST. UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. APPEARS BEST CHANCES FOR A STORM WILL BE MID TO LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A FEW HEAVIER DOWNPOURS MAY OCCUR. IN ADDITION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ON THE RIDGES AND NEAR ANY STORMS. DRY AND WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THROUGH THE AREA ON MONDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY DRY AND COOLER WEATHER BEHIND THE FRONT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............27 28 22 19 21 28 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................84 79 75 71 67 65 RH..................36 42 50 60 72 77 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 3 S 2 SW 1 NW 0 W 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 4 S 2 S 2 SW 1 NW 0 W 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....8 7 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............37 46 53 60 66 69 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................63 65 72 78 82 84 RH..................84 81 66 55 47 46 20 FT WIND..........W 1 W 1 W 3 SW 5 W 7 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 8 12 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 1 W 1 W 2 SW 2 W 5 SW 6 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 7 9 CWR.................10 10 20 20 40 50 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............69 66 66 67 70 61 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC TEMP................81 75 71 67 65 64 RH..................51 62 71 79 84 88 20 FT WIND..........SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 1 W 1 W 1 W 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................50 50 40 30 30 20 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............54 55 54 54 58 60 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................62 64 71 77 82 84 RH..................95 88 68 55 48 46 20 FT WIND..........W 2 W 2 W 2 W 3 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 1 W 1 W 2 W 2 W 4 W 4 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 5 10 10 CWR.................20 20 20 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...HUDGINS REQUESTED BY...GWJ NF TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110817.RAINB.01/RNK