FNUS74 KMAF 190512 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED...NMADC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1212 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2244 MDT ON AUGUST 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT SHOULD BE BECOMING SOUTHERLY TOMORROW. WIND SPEEDS ALONG EXPOSED RIDGES WILL BE 5 TO 10 MPH HIGHER THAN VALLEYS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND EASTERN ARIZONA ARE CAUSING INCREASING CLOUDS OVER THE BURN SITE...BUT MORE IMPORTANTLY THE INCREASING MOISTURE SHOULD CAUSE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN AND AROUND THE BURN SITE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR OUTFLOW WINDS TO AFFECT THE SITE WITH RAPIDLY CHANGING WIND SPEEDS AND DIRECTIONS. GOOD RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SHOULD DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT TOMORROW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MAX HUMIDITY........63 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600 KNOT-FT). CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... CHC PCPN (%).... 0 0 0 0 TEMP............74 72 70 68 RH..............55 60 63 63 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 8 10 20 FT WIND GUST.5 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 500 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..W NW NW NW TRANS WIND SPD..5 7 7 6 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (73600 KNOT-FT). CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM CHC PCPN (%)....10 10 20 30 30 30 TEMP............67 71 80 87 91 90 RH..............62 54 40 32 28 30 20 FT WIND DIR..W W S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 6000 11500 11500 13000 TRANS WIND DIR..W W W S S S TRANS WIND SPD..7 7 3 4 4 6 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR GOOD HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........64 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (70000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (200 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM CHC PCPN (%)....30 30 30 30 30 30 TEMP............87 79 76 73 71 69 RH..............34 43 49 53 57 61 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 11 11 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 MIX HGT (FT)....10000 10000 500 500 500 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW NW W W W TRANS WIND SPD..7 7 4 2 2 6 VENT CAT........GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...HENNIG REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110818.CROOK.01/MAF