FNUS75 KPUB 181349
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALAMADITAS...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
749 AM MDT THU AUG 18 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BURN AREA REMAINS UNDER THE EDGE OF MONSOON MOISTURE...WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEARBY MOUNTAINS BY
EARLY AFTERNOON...AND THEN SPREADING ACROSS THE BURN AREA VICINITY.  THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MICROBURST WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH OR
MORE...HAZARDOUS LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL.  STORM
ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF THE BURN AREA UNTIL
APPROXIMATELY 2100 AROUND WHICH TIME MOST STORM ACTIVITY SHOULD WIND
DOWN.  MUCH THE SAME PATTERN OF ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS THE
MONSOON MOISTURE PLUME REMAINS IN PLACE.  SMOKE DISPERSIONS ARE LIKELY
TO REMAIN IN THE POOR TO FAIR RANGES BOTH TODAY AND FRIDAY DUE MAINLY TO
LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO FAIR AFTER 1500.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1000 UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHEAST UNTIL
                    1400...THEN SOUTHEAST UNTIL 1700...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...SID HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110818.ALAMA.01/PUB