FNUS75 KGJT 191450
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY PARK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
850 AM MDT FRI AUG 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0850 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAS INCREASED OVER THE REGION...AS A RESULT THERE
WILL BE AN INCREASE IN SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...WETTING RAIN
IS LIKELY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    (CHANCE OF RAIN 50%)
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS TO 45 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700-9700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS (50%) IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (4400-25400 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...ERIC BRANTINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110819.DRYPA.01/GJT