FNUS75 KGJT 200708
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY PARK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
108 AM MDT SAT AUG 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2115 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DISTURBANCE IN ARIZONA FRIDAY NIGHT WILL LIFT
NORTH LATE SATURDAY BRINGING DEEPER MOISTURE WITH IT. EXPECT
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO INCREASE IN THE EVENING WITH
SOME STORMS LINGERING OVERNIGHT. SOME STORMS WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OVERNIGHT INVERSIONS WILL BE
WEAK OR NONEXISTENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-93 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE. AFTER 1100 WEST 3-6 MPH WITH
                    AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS
                    NEAR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO GOOD AFTER
                    1200.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN SHIFTING TO WEST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED STORMS
                    PERSISTING OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST 2-5 AFTER 2100. GUSTY
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD EXCEPT FAIR AT TIMES AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000-5000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....ERRATIC DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS AT 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 3-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...ERIC BRANTINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110819.DRYPA.03/GJT