FNUS75 KGJT 191047
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SALLYS HOLLOW...USFS - MIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
447 AM MDT FRI AUG 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TODAY FROM THE SOUTH. A
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER EASTERN UTAH TODAY WHICH WILL DRAW MORE
MOISTURE NORTH AND INCREASE THE AREAL COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SATURDAY WILL BRING SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY AT 3-5M MPH BY 2100. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CLEARING INDEX......600 DECREASING TO 50.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 800 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...SALLYS HOLLOW FEMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110819.SALLY.01/GJT